The International Air Cargo Association (TIACA) has predicted another tough 12 months for air cargo demand. In its latest newsletter, the association said that high inflation, high interest rates, high energy costs and concern over job security have compounded to create an air of defensive consumer spending, which is in turn affecting the air cargo industry. “However, the current situation is temporary and we can hope that later in 2023 central banks will start reducing interest rates when inflation is considered to be under control,” TIACA said. “Although before things improve, we can expect a further slowdown as energy costs are expected to remain high through winter 2022, particularly in Europe. “But structurally the industry is in a good place and towards the second half of 2023 we could see demand picking up compared to this year.” The association added that current retail inventory levels are high but when consumer spending resumes this should come down. Meanwhile, the relaxation of Covid of the zero covid policy in China should help production levels improve in the country.
Elswhere, the air cargo industry continues to innovate. “There are many positive things which we can focus on such as innovation, which since early 2020 has been phenomenal, from process innovation to technical innovation to people and skills innovation,” TIACA added.